Category Archives: politics

Answering Greg Young on Rex Sinquefield

Greg Young, a MU student with some inconsequential links to Grass-Roots Organizing, comments on my piece on Rex Sinquefield in the Missouri Record:

My problem with this section is that Eapen presents the idea that Sinquefield and the Show-Me Institute protect the rich and powerful at the expense of the politically weak and powerless as a completely ridiculous idea.  It decidedly is not, and I don’t think I’m outside any mainstream orthodoxy when I say that.

This is misguided, and here is why. I am making the argument that it is not Sinquefield’s intention to protect the rich and powerful. I am not sure he even cares terribly much rich and powerful people remaining rich and powerful. But the what the evidence does indicate is that Sinquefield has been a powerful advocate for underprivileged children and education reform for years through his charitable work.

This interview with St. Louis Magazine contains a lot of the kind of biographical details that would allow for an informed evaluation of Sinquefield’s character, including his childhood in a Catholic Orphanage and the story of his life in academia and business. It is worth reading if you care about making an informed judgment about Sinquefield’s character and ability to be intellectually honest. Here’s an excerpt that I think is enlightening in terms of his policy advocacy in Missouri:

Obviously, the institute attracts like-minded scholars—Show-Me’s authors are vetted, often meeting with Sinquefield so he can decide if their heads are screwed on straight. But are the purchased study results biased in advance? They certainly weren’t in a recent study of the Missouri Plan, the state’s method of judge selection. Conservatives are eager to change Missouri’s system, but the study found it to have no economic disadvantages, compared to other nonelectoral systems. Sinquefield reportedly wasn’t thrilled by this conclusion; indeed, Show-Me promptly released a statement pointing out that there could be less tangible downfalls to the Missouri Plan. But Joseph Haslag, Kenneth Lay Chair in Economics at the University of Missouri–Columbia and an executive vice-president of Show-Me, says Sinquefield simply asked whether the methodology was sound. Assured that it was, he published the results.

So my response to Greg is that I think that a reasonable evaluation of Sinquefield and his advocacy leads to the conclusion that he honestly believes his policies are good for people and is willing to be honest about evidence based evaluations of those policies.

Greg continues:

For example, one of the Show-Me Institutes key ideas is their advocacy for a Fair Tax, which would eliminate the income tax in favor of a sales tax.  Now Fair Tax advocates will say that if implemented correctly, a sales tax can avoid being regressive and become equally fair to all citizens.  But it is hardly a controversial position to argue that a Fair Tax could end up harming lower income families while benefiting the rich and powerful.

The distinction I made answers this claim. Sinquefield believes this policy will be beneficial for the entirety of Missouri, not just the rich. Those who disagree that Fair Tax will stimulate job-creating economic growth can make their case, but their conclusion that the Fair Tax leaves Missouri low income Missourians worse off does not mean that Sinquefield thinks or intends that that will be the case. In fact, the evidence indicate that Sinquefield has already considered this possibility and has included in his proposal an explicit endorsement of an exemption for low income households from the Fair Tax. Here he is in the 2010 Show-Me Quarterly:

It’s true that a sales tax can be regressive, which is why it’s important to exempt low-income families from paying such increased taxes. If Missouri were to eliminate the income tax in favor of a slightly higher and more comprehensive sales tax, we could eliminate the penalty that the state’s tax policy imposes on business investment, and instead spur economic growth while simultaneously providing a more stable source of revenue for essential government functions.

It is a basic norm of civil discourse that you at least familiarize yourself with your opponent’s position on a subject before you implicate his character. It is this I find most offensive about the rhetoric of Grass Roots Organizing of Missouri: they’re lazy and willing to demonize someone before they are willing to research or understand his positions.

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My op-ed in the Missouri Record on Rex Sinquefield

…was published today and you can clickthrough here. Here is an excerpt:

A couple of months ago Grass-Roots Organizing (GRO) held an anti-big banks rally sponsored by a progressive local activist organization. I am generally in favor of breaking up big banks or adopting some kind of regulatory approach that limits the systemic risks that large, complex institutions created.

But a second message from GRO had a decidedly different tone. Along with the opposition to big financial institutions whose ignorance and malfeasance brought our economy to a very ugly place, there was also a diatribe against Rex Sinquefield, a multi-millionaire retired investment banker. Rex (and his wife Jeanne) have liberally funded politicians on both sides of the aisle to promote a policy agenda that includes increased school choice, more transparent and data-driven governance and reform of Missouri’s tax system. There are legitimate debates to be had on these policies but if you disagree with Rex Sinquefield on his political agenda or his methods, it is unfair to conflate these disagreements with opposition to big banks and financial deregulation.

There are two arguments for that thesis. The first, and obvious one, is that opposition to big banks is not premised on the same assumptions of opposition to the “Fair Tax Proposal” or school choice. The second and more important argument is that Sinquefield represents a school of thought that is diametrically opposite to the ideology that captured the financial services sector and brought the global economy to the brink of collapse. Moreover, the harshness of the criticism thrown his way is stunning; it is demonstrably true that Sinquefield’s political agenda around the state does not represent efforts to protect the rich and powerful at the expense of the politically weak and powerless.

I am assured by friends that the rest of the piece is worth reading, especially for those with an interest in Missouri politics. There is also a discussion of Sinquefield’s former company, Dimensional Funds Advisors, which is very interesting to me as an economics student.

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Senator Claire McCaskill at #YDMO2010

Here is Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill (D) speaking to me on April 17th at the 2010 Young Democrats of Missouri state convention in Springfield, Missouri. I’m especially proud that I have a senator who publicly commits to not earmarking (1:45).

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Great moments in rent-seeking, the geopolitics of oil edition

From The Politics of Oil by Robert Engler, p. 265-6:

Despite these setbacks, the vacuity and fumbling of American foreign policy and its application to oil still promote the propping up of regimes whose days are numbered and who are prepare to trade their people’s physical heritage for dollars and military support. All this takes pace with the active participation of oil corporations that seek to integrate the raw material producing countries of the world into the processes of their private government. Late in 1958 the United Nations General Assembly received Soviet-backed resolutions, first proposing that the UN provide aid for nations wishing to develop their own petroleum resources and then one more simply suggesting a study of internatioanl cooperation in such development. The Americans simply responded to the bait of this blunt threat to the international companies and clear provocation to the producing countries of Latin America and the Middle East. “In no time at all the oil lobbyists were swarming around the United Nations,'” the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reported. “There were so many conference between the oil men and members of the United States delegation that one American diplomat said he told the oil people to ‘let us alone so we can protect your interests.'” One oilman, a member of the delegation, “was warned to lie low.” Speaking for the United States, Senator Mike Mansfield rose to defend private enterprise and national sovereignty:

If the General Assembly starts with the oil industry today, where shall we stop? Will there be a separate resolution on the steel industry, the flour milling industry, poultry raising, cement manufacturing, automobiles, synthetic fibers or the hula hoop business?

In a setting where we know not where we are going, the quest for oil looms as one clear goal.

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Rex Sinquefield on taxes

Patrick Tuohey at the Missouri Record has generously agreed to publish a piece I wrote on Rex Sinquefield and his political agenda in Missouri. The piece should come out tomorrow, but here is a selection of excerpts from the Show-Me Institute Quarterly clarifying Sinquefield’s advocacy on taxation. The excerpts are taken from the Fall 2008, Fall 2009, and the Winter 2010 issues of the Show-Me Quarterly.

On why a re-evaluation of Missouri tax policy is in order:

Missouri is chronically below average for economic development and growth. During the past 10 years, employment has grown 8.8 percent nationally, while Missouri has boosted jobs by a barely perceptible 0.23 percent. In their study for the American Legislative Exchange Council, titled “Rich States, Poor States,” Laffer and Moore offer one explanation for the state’s poor performance: Missouri’s personal income tax rates. The highest rate of 7 percent — which includes the state’s top marginal rate of 6 percent, plus a 1-percent earnings tax imposed in Kansas City and Saint Louis — places the Show-Me State at 32nd in the nation.

On the deficiencies of Missouri’s income tax:

We side with economists who say that an income tax is a huge drag on growth in two ways: First, an income tax lowers the net pay of workers, providing them with less of an incentive to work. The flip side of this argument is that Missouri workers are likely to demand higher pay in order to offset the higher after-tax income in other states. Second, the income tax is inherently unwise, because it’s relatively narrow in scope and cannot be avoided except by leaving the state. This is hardly the type of tax that makes sense in the face of cutthroat competition among states. Missouri needs business and job creation. We’re also impressed by another set of significant economic numbers. States with no income taxes have the lowest overall tax burdens, according to data compiled by the Tax Foundation. Indeed, the correlation is virtually one to one.

On the link between taxation, jobs, and economic growth:

We show that the state’s economic growth has been sluggish by national standards, but that the nine states without an income tax have added more than twice as many jobs as the national average. Not all of this extra growth can be attributed to differing tax systems, but some of it certainly stems from the fact that the lack of an income tax lowers business costs. States without an income tax also have lower overall rates of taxation; the eight states with the lowest taxation rates in the country are eight of the nine states with no income tax. Multiple studies have shown that lower levels of taxation also boost economic growth, so implementing a sales tax to replace the income tax could boost growth in more than one way.

A broad-based sales tax should exempt the poor and will provide Missouri with greater financial security:

It’s true that a sales tax can be regressive, which is why it’s important to exempt low-income families from paying such increased taxes. If Missouri were to eliminate the income tax in favor of a slightly higher and more comprehensive sales tax, we could eliminate the penalty that the state’s tax policy imposes on business investment, and instead spur economic growth while simultaneously providing a more stable source of revenue for essential government functions.

And replacing the income tax with a sales tax can be revenue-neutral:

n 2007, Missouri’s sales tax generated nearly $2 billion. To replace the income tax fully, the sales tax would have to produce another $4.9 billion, according to Joseph Haslag, executive vice president of the Show-Me Institute. (I would like to point out that because repeal of the income tax would stimulate growth, ultimately, a dollar-for-dollar increase in the sales tax won’t be necessary. But I’m willing to adopt a revenue-neutral approach for argument’s sake.) However, Missouri lawmakers over the years have voted to exempt more than 140 other items from the sales tax, according to research conducted for the Show-Me Institute. In addition, Missouri does not tax consumer services. If Missouri included in the sales tax all products and services purchased by individuals — which  would exclude business-to-business transactions and capital acquisitions by businesses — a general sales tax rate of about 5.7 percent would suffice, according to Haslag’s estimates.

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Levine on patents

Over at Huffpo, David Levine, an economist at Washington University in St. Louis, writes:

There are many solutions to the problem of global warming — ignoring it is popular with the extreme right, and moving back to the stone age is of equal interest to the extreme left. For the rest of us improving technology seems like a good place to start. Even if dumping carbon dioxide in the atmosphere turns out not to lead to global warming, the ill-health effects of pollution aren’t controversial.

So “green” patents seem to be a no-brainer. Want to encourage technology? Give people monopolies for inventing things. If you think that way, a headline here on the Huffington Post “China Surprising Leader In Green-Technology” may surprise you as much as it does the author. After all China isn’t famous for the strong enforcement of patent laws. It isn’t a surprise to Michele and me — we’ve been beaten over the head time and again by empirical economists discovering that patents do not encourage innovation.

Patents do not lead to more innovation? In chapter 8 of our book Against Intellectual Monopoly we went through all the economic studies we could find: 22 studies by authors ranging from Arora to Zoz. We can sum them up by quoting Lerner’s study of 150 years worth of evidence: “Consider, for instance, policy changes that strengthen patent protection…this evidence suggests that these policy changes did not spur innovation.”

He continues:

In the case of carbon emissions, the problem is worse. Rich countries produce a lot, and big countries such as China and India are quickly becoming richer. Carbon pollution, however, does not respect international boundaries. So you would think that the goal of countries — such as ours — that are already rich, would be to make it as easy as possible for poorer countries to reduce their carbon emissions. Are you surprised then that on June 10, 2009 the United States House of Representatives “voted overwhelmingly to establish new U.S. policy that will oppose any global climate change treaty that weakens the IP rights of American ‘green technology'”? That Jonathan Pershing – deputy special envoy for climate change at the US Department of State – says unequivocally that we will will charge poor countries like Bolivia all the market can bear for our green patents?

We can put this “beggar they neighbor” policy into perspective by describing a study published in the prestigious American Economic Review by Chaudhuri, Goldberg and Jia about the antibiotic quinolones. They estimate that every dollar we squeeze out of impoverished Indian consumers by forcing our patent system on them and driving up the price of drugs costs them seven dollars. Think of this in the context of global warming. Who pays the seven dollars then? The cost of global warming isn’t just paid by the Indians — it’s paid by all of us. If we have to pay inventors seven dollars for every dollar worth of global warming reduction…I’m sure Siberia will be a nice place to live some day.

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On war, soldiers, and honor

I remember the days and weeks and months after September 11th pretty clearly. Almost immediately after the towers fell conservatives (and particularly the Bush Administration) became instant advocates of sending the US military abroad to counter the threat of Islamic extremism. Iraq quickly raced to the topic of Bush’s policy agenda and an invasion was planned and executed with impressive speed.

But America, and the right in particular, have severe cognitive blinders when it comes to the topic of war. War is sold to us under the branding of liberty and defending freedom. But I think it is demonstrably true that when we go to war we systematically underestimate the costs of war and overestimate the benefits.

Part of the hidden costs of war are found in the broken men and women who return from the battlefield with severe physical or psychological trauma. It is well documented how poorly the military’s own infrastructure is equipped to deal with these problems; indeed, one of the fundamental problems is that the military ethos is expressed in ways that deny soldiers the ability to approach and confront their own injuries, particularly the ones that aren’t understood well. There are huge asymmetries in power and knowledge inherent in military structure that leave veterans to suffer with little recourse. Is it any surprise then that suicide rates are so high amongst veterans?

Moreover, the right fails to understand that war is like any of the other government programs they criticize. War is functionally an entitlement program for the military-industrial complex, and for all the posturing the right engages in against health care or financial reform, I think you would be hard pressed to find a coherent group of conservatives who are serious about cutting defense spending.

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Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster speaks to #YDMO2010

I got this footage from a meet and greet with Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster at a Young Democrats of Missouri convention held last weekend in Springfield, Missouri. He discusses the impact the recession has had on hirings at the Attorney General’s office (since high end law firms aren’t hiring, the AG is now able to hire law grads from Harvard and other Tier 1 law schools) and also the efforts of Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder to sue the federal government over healthcare reform. Koster makes the argument that Kinder doesn’t have standing to represent Missouri in the first place and that allowing random state officials to sue on behalf of the state leads to  anarchy in the courts, since there’s no mechanism to prevent different state officials from suing each other on behalf of the state of Missouri, which is what these kinds of lawsuits would turn into.

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On grassroots political activism

This is scary: in Missouri failure to properly disclose grassroots lobbying activity is punishable by a fine of up to $5,000 and 4 years in jail, a punishment comparable to the sentence you would expect to receive for sexual misconduct with a minor. Other states are harsher; Alabama can fine you $30,000 and send you to jail for 20 years.

For more, check out this paper from the Institute for Justice titled ‘Mowing Down the Grassroots: How Grassroots Lobbying Disclosure Suppresses Political Participation‘ by University of Missouri economist Jeffrey Milyo.

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Weekend Plans

This weekend I’ll be heading to the Young Democrats of Missouri state convention in Springfield, Missouri. At this point, I have scheduled interviews with Rep. Stephen Webber (D-23), MO State Auditor Susan Montee, MO State Treasurer Clint Zweifel, MO Attorney General Chris Koster, Missouri Democratic Party Chairman Craig Hosmer. That list will probably grow during the weekend, but hopefully I’ll get some content that I’ll be able to format in posts both here and over at the Boone County Democrats. There might even be some video (a friend has generously donated his Flip HD camera).

I did particularly want to note that my interview with Susan Montee will include some questions to flesh out her latest audit on civil asset forfeitures performed in the state during 2009.

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A quick bleg on the income tax and fraud

I argue that Missouri’s ‘Fair tax’ proposal to eliminate the income tax and implement a revenue-neutral, broad-based sales tax makes intuitive sense to me on the grounds that it is relatively more idiotproof. That is, sales taxes are relatively easy to implement and monitor and a lot less costly to enforce relative to income taxes. Sales taxes also are hard to get out of paying relative to income taxes; you don’t lose money when people forget to send them in (or they get lost in the mail), cheat on them, or  make mistakes.

Speaking of cheating on your taxes, here is a rather egregious story of tax fraud from CNN today:

Investigators say Monroe County jail inmates in Key West had been filing false tax return forms for jobs they never had as far back as 2004, and getting thousands of dollars a pop in refund checks.

Using a formula that kept their refunds to amounts under $5,000 per claim, inmates thought they would fly under the radar, investigators say. And they did for years, passing around cheat sheets that showed line by line how to fill out the complicated forms.

The scam however is not a local gig. Investigators and federal officials say it has been going on for decades in state and federal prisons around the country.

“These guys weren’t rocket scientists…They didn’t just wake up and come up with this great scheme,” Monroe County Sheriff Bob Peryam said.

Here’s how it allegedly worked: using names of defunct or made up businesses as places of work and a master cheat sheet for salary and other numerical information, inmates filled out 4852 tax forms — the ones you use if your employer didn’t provide you with a W-2.

The inmates sent the forms in and the IRS then issued refund checks, in some cases sending them directly to the county jail. But inmates didn’t just fill out the forms for themselves. For a $500 fee ringleaders at the prison filled out refund requests for other inmates, promising they would each get a return of about $4,500.

Some of the prisoners, homeless before their arrests, were unaware of the scam. They gave away their social security numbers for honeybuns, a sweet pastry that inmates can buy in prison. The scammers would then file more refund requests under those social security numbers.

Wow. Consider that without an income tax, this scenario is simply impossible.

I want to point out that I don’t have a philosophical objection to income taxes per se. Rather it seems to me a matter of pragmatism: how idiot-proof can we make our taxation and government mechanisms?

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Chicago charter school Urban Prep has 100% college acceptance rate

From the Christian Science Monitor:

But the Urban Prep charter school, located in the city’s tough Englewood neighborhood, has produced a very different statistic. In March, this school, which is made up of young African-American men, announced that all 107 boys in its first graduating class have been accepted to a four-year college. Just 4 percent of those seniors were reading at grade level as freshmen.

There are I’m sure many lessons to  be taken from this one shining example of American secondary education. Others have already spoken well on the transformative capacity of the charter school model. But that’s not all that’s at work here. One less obvious lesson is that Urban Prep is active in one of the most vibrant debate leagues in America through the sanction of the Chicago Debate League.

Here is Alfred Snider with more:

Even more dramatically, in schools with 90% or more Title I students, participation in the CDL grew by 192%, almost tripling the number of debaters in one year. Moreover, a substantial portion of this growth is from returning schools, not simply the addition of new schools. Returning school growth adds to our overall participation numbers in a very cost-efficient manner.

Low-income students in Chicago are in greatest need of the transformative benefits of competitive academic debate. The Chicago Debate Commission focused a substantial share of its own human and organizational resources to build interest in debate in our schools with high Title I rates. Increasing the percentage of first-generation college students and decreasing the racial achievement gap are proven outcomes of the CDL’s research-driven intervention.

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Name this former slave state

That in this free government *all white men are and of right ought to be entitled to equal civil and political rights* [emphasis in the original]; that the servitude of the African race, as existing in these States, is mutually beneficial to both bond and free, and is abundantly authorized and justified by the experience of mankind, and the revealed will of the Almighty Creator, as recognized by all Christian nations; while the destruction of the existing relations between the two races, as advocated by our sectional enemies, would bring inevitable calamities upon both and desolation upon the fifteen slave-holding states.

The answer is here.

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Against civil asset forfeiture, Part I

During my sophomore year in high school, I competed in policy debate. My partner and I chose to run an affirmative advocating the end of the system known as civil asset forfeiture, a relic of ancient English common law that has made an ugly reappearance since the passage of the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO) in 1970. This topic has always remained on my radar and since that debate topic I have kept current with both the literature on the subject and have written several essays against it.

The basic premise of civil asset forfeiture is that under a truly ancient and archaic legal theory, the government can level a charge of being the product or accessory to a crime against property itself. Note that this completely changes the game. In criminal prosecutions, the government has the burden of proof and is held to a standard of reasonable doubt. Additionally, defendants enjoy numerous (though not always sufficient) protections, like the right to counsel and the right to due process. In civil actions, and particularly in a civil forfeiture action, the government only has to establish a preponderance of the evidence in order to obtain a forfeiture.

Note the trick here. A preponderance of the evidence standard is something that few people are familiar with, in part because it’s used as a criteria for adjudicating guilt so rarely. But consider the trap this puts an innocent person. The government seizes an asset on some arbitrary charge and provides an informant’s affidavit as evidence. An innocent citizen now has to prove a negative in order to retain the rights to their property by providing evidence of superior quantity and quality. This is nearly impossible for citizens implicated in the vast majority of civil forfeiture actions who now have to prove that their property (not themselves) are innocent. Additionally, since the forfeiture action vests against the property, not the property owner, the owner’s complicity in the alleged crime is actually irrelevant.

Imagine a paid informant provides evidence that a black man of some variety will be transporting a large amount of cash for a criminal activity through a certain town. On the strength of that reasonably vague affidavit, the police can stop and search almost at will. If they find a black man actually in possession of a large amount of cash, the affidavit constitutes probable cause for the seizure and evidence for the forfeiture action, regardless of whether or not the man is a criminal or the cash is for illicit purposes. The property owner now has to provide evidence that outweighs a sworn affidavit describing in generic but apt language the suspicion vested by the police on the strength of an informant who has no accountability for his testimony and is paid to provide the police with justification for warrants. In this case, this means accounting for the cash in every last detail of where it was from and where it was going. Generally, this is a costly prohibitive burden on the politically weak, particularly when traveling. One must deal with the expense of travel and the opportunity costs of having to be in other jurisdictions for proceedings, along with the cost of an attorney and the cost of proving impossible negatives.

In other words, this forfeiture can happen without the DA ever filing a charge. The calculation now is: we found a criminal and took his cash and we don’t even have to go to the expense and trouble of prosecution. The informant is even eligible for a cut of the seized property. This presumably exists to incentivize criminals to turn their associates by holding out the promise of financial gain. Note that when there is no check on informant credibility, this is a system that can be gamed by criminals for money.

It gets worse.

So many states have laws specifically deeming that the proceeds of forfeiture return to specific general funds, like education or healthcare. So police departments should have no incentive to seize without really having probable cause, right? Wrong. The federal government in many cases helps state and local police agencies subvert their own laws through a clever loophole. The loophole works like this: the state police find an asset in an appropriate situation where forfeiture is easy and unlikely to be contested. They then ‘detain’ the asset until a federal agent arrives and initiates a seizure under federal law. The asset is then liquidated and the local police get a kickback that is usually around 80% and goes straight to their budget.

In one fell swoop several fundamental checks and balances are cut out of the picture. First, there is the obvious dishonesty and travesty of letting one level of government actively subvert the will and intent of another level. Second, this allows police departments to become in theory self-funding, which eliminates the legislative check on executive power, since the legislature’s control of the public funds now becomes meaningless. This is a subversion of democracy that happens on both the state and federal level.

This is the first in what I intend to be a series of posts on this subject. Later posts will explore the specific constitutional violations that accrue through the use of civil asset forfeiture, the harms of letting police departments self-fund, and several other nuances to this story.

I am indebted to Mickey Klebanov, David Kramer, and Eric Kafka for the numerous conversations we had on this topic.

Addendum: Ilya Somin at the Volokh Conspiracy blogs about civil asset forfeiture here. Recommended.

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Senator Orrin Hatch’s aides say dumb things about game theoreticians

From the WSJ:

In classic game theory, confrontation is sometimes necessary when cooperation breaks down to present a credible potential threat and get the two sides to re-engage, said Robert Axelrod, a University of Michigan political scientist and author of the game-theory book, “The Evolution of Cooperation.” He isn’t related to White House senior adviser David Axelrod.

The Senate doesn’t work the way game theorists think, said Antonia Ferrier, an aide to Republican Sen. Orrin Hatch of Utah. A body built on personal relationships is likely to spiral into endless tit-for-tat retaliations in the face of Mr. Obama’s new turn, she said.

Ms. Ferrier’s ignorance and willingness to make claims about she doesn’t know anything about is so painfully bad, it’s funny. For those who aren’t in on the joke, Robert Axelrod, yes, THE Robert Axelrod, seminally important political scientist who did much of the foundational work in applied game theory actually did discuss the tit-for-tat strategy in his work with Anatol Rapaport (a Russian mathematician) in 1980. Here is more abut the tournaments, in which tit-for-tat was the dominant, winning strategy.

So yes, Ms. Ferrier, game theorists do have insights into how the Senate works, and it’s unfair and really dumb of you to say that in response to the person who actually did all this work that you’re ignorant of.

Recommended: Axelrod’s The Evolution of Cooperation is one of the seminal texts in game theory and I am currently reading his earlier contribution, Conflict of Interest, which has a lot of to offer to the study of political coalitions.

Addendum: Here is a biography of Robert Axelrod by the indomitable Elinor Ostrom, one of our newest Nobel Laureates in Economics.

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