Monthly Archives: May 2010

Binge drinking and risky sex among college students

The always interesting Jeff DeSimone has a working paper with the American Association of Wine Economists titled “Binge Drinking and Risky Sex Among College Students.” Here is the abstract:

This study examines the relationship between binge drinking and sexual behavior in nationally representative data on age 18–24 four-year college students. For having sex, overall or without condoms, large and significant positive associations are eliminated upon holding constant proxies for time-invariant sexual activity and drinking preferences. However, strong relationships persist for sex with multiple recent partners, overall and without condoms, even controlling for substance use, risk aversion, mental health, sports participation, and sexual activity frequency. Promiscuity is unrelated with non-binge drinking but even more strongly related with binge drinking on multiple occasions. Results from a rudimentary instrumental variables strategy and accounting for whether sex is immediately preceded by alcohol use suggest that binge drinking directly leads to risky sex. Some binge drinking-induced promiscuity seems to occur among students, especially males, involved in long-term relationships. Effects are concentrated among non-Hispanic whites and are not apparent for students in two-year schools.

Tagged , ,

On reasserting civilian control of law enforcement

I spoke yesterday to the Columbia City Council presenting my white paper on how to reassert civilian control over law enforcement in Columbia, Missouri. I was part of a group of people who might be variously labeled as libertarians who were at the council meeting to speak out against the policies implicated in the February SWAT raid of a suspected cannabis dealer that resulted in two small dogs being shot in front of a seven-year-old child, with nothing meaningful to show for the subsequent search or arrest.

Video of the city council meeting is here. I speak at 2:52.40. Mitch Richards, a libertarian member of Keep Columbia Safe, addresses some of the same issues that I do at 2:27.35 and I recommend listening to his speech as well.

Addendum: Greg Young comments on my white paper and posts it in full here. Coverage from the Columbia Missourian is here. Coverage from the Columbia Tribune is here.

Tagged

I’m going to be on the radio tomorrow!

At 5pm tomorrow, I’ll be on KOPN 89.5 FM in Columbia, Missouri with with hosts Steve Spellman and Mitch Richards, who will be interviewing me about a white paper I wrote on the topic of of re-asserting civilian control of domestic law enforcement. I will be talking very specifically about civil asset forfeiture laws and the constitutional issues involved. Radley Balko from Reason Magazine might also be joining us for the discussion. You can listen live on your Iphone using the Public Radio Player app.

Tagged , , , , ,

This is the greatest thing I have seen in weeks

The name of the group appears to be the UMKC Law School Revue $1.98. The name of this song is “Disbursement Checks”. H/T: Sam Burnett

Tagged

Tasting notes: ’96 and ’98 Duval-Leroy, 2000 Dom Perignon

Over the last couple of weeks I’ve been fortunate enough to taste the following champagnes in good company:

1996 Duval-Leroy Brut: This is a beautiful wine, soft and elegant, with hints of nuts, toast, and sweet lemon cake. We tasted this against a 2000 Dom Perignon at Addison’s, a local restaurant (hint: don’t trust college-age servers to know how to open a champagne bottle or to present clean, polished glasses).

1998 Duval-Leroy Blanc de Chardonnay: This was my favorite of the set. The wine is hard to get and the only place in Columbia that has it is the Wine Cellar and Bistro (they have 2 bottles left, hint hint). The grapes are from 5 Grand Cru villages in the Cote des Blancs. The wine is softer, deeper, and richer than the 1998, and has flavors of light lemon cake, toast, and honey.

2000 Dom Perignon: I opened this wine for roughly ten people who aren’t wine experts, and the universal conclusion was at $55 retail, the 1996 Duval-Leroy was a far better wine. In other words, don’t waste your money on Dom when a little looking might find you champagne from a producer that does a far better job making 10,000 cases than the 5 million cases of Dom that Moet et Chandon produces every vintage. In any case, the wine is good, but simple, with with lots of fruit and brisk acidity. Dom takes about 10 years to develop its characteristic silky mousse and finesse. I’ll be interested in how this wine develops over the next 10 years, though I’m not sure I’ll be interested in paying for it.

Tagged , ,

1961 Chateau Batailley, 1994 Togni

I was fortunate enough to taste the following two wines yesterday:

1961 Chateau Batailley: this wine is produced in Pauillac, Bordeaux from 136 acres of cabernet sauvignon, cabernet franc, and merlot. The wine was remarkably fresh and youthful and sediment-free, with a brick-red ruby color and intense aromatics. This was a wine that was excellently balanced and well composed with notes of herbs, redcurrants, spice, kirsch, berry compote, and hints of vanilla. The chateau is a fifth growth by classification and Robert Parker rated the 1961 bottling 84 points, though I think the wine was substantially better.

1994 Philip Togni Cabernet Sauvignon, Napa: Togni is one of those legendary names in California wines. Typically he does not release his wines until 10 years after they are bottled, although that has changed over the last few years. It is a ringer for high-end Bordeaux, which was my initial guess on a blind tasting. I think Parker rates the wine 94-97 points; I thought the wine was superb,  with notes of spice, mint and more black fruit than the ’61 Batailley I tasted right before.

Tagged ,

Missouri SB 795 wants to license egg retailers. No, seriously

I received an email from the Missouri Rural Crisis Center earlier today detailing their opposition to SB 795, a bill in committee right now that will probably see floor time today or tomorrow. The bill itself is long and contains a variety of provisions of very questionable merit, particularly a requirement to license:

All persons engaged in buying, selling, trading or trafficking in, or processing eggs, except those listed in section 196.313, shall be required to be licensed under sections 196.311 to 196.361.  Such persons shall file an annual application for such license on forms to be prescribed by the director, and shall obtain an annual license for each separate place of business from the director.

The bill lists specific licensing requirements for egg ‘retailers’, ‘dealers’, and ‘processors’, along with a fee schedule that begins at $5 for egg ‘retailers’ selling fewer than 25 cases of eggs a week and tops out at $100 for egg ‘processors’ moving more than 1000 cases of eggs a day.

Licensing requirements are a good way for established firms to restrict the amount of competition they have; enacting legal requirements to pay a fee and obtain a license in order to sell even small quantities of eggs has a crushing effect on the ability of very small producers to compete in the market for eggs. Under this law it appears that it is now illegal to sell eggs from your backyard chicken coop to your neighbor without a license, a requirement that is unenforceably broad. The money raised will go into an ‘agriculture protection fund’ which sounds more like a giveaway to large agribusiness than anything else.

There are some places where licensing requirements protect consumers but here these requirements mean that consumers will end up paying more money for fewer eggs for no real reason.

Tagged , ,

The connections between ethics reform, lobbying, free speech, and markets

Over at the Missouri Record, Dave Roland criticizes the ethics bill SB 844 in front of the Missouri Senate, presenting five specific arguments as to why the bill is constitutionally untenable. He has this to say on the subject of the bill’s provisions to expand the scope and breadth of lobbyist registration and reporting requirements:

The current version of SB 844 would also expand section 105.470’s definition of “legislative lobbyist” to include “any natural person who acts for the purpose of attempting to influence the taking, passage, amendment, delay or defeat of any official action on any bill, resolution, amendment, nomination, appointment, report or any other action or any other matter pending or proposed in a legislative committee in either house of the general assembly, or in any matter which may be [italics added] the subject of action by the general assembly and in connection with such activity… attempts to influence any elected official other than an elected official who represents the legislative district where the person resides.” Under the currently-existing section 105.473, anyone who meets the definition of a lobbyist is required to file a registration form, pay a registration fee, and on a continuing basis provide to the designated authorities a significant array of information about the resources expended in their efforts to communicate with elected officials.  The law treats a lobbyist’s failure to register with the state or keep current on the required reports as a criminal offense.

The Missouri Constitution, states that “every person shall be free to say, write or publish, or otherwise communicate whatever he will on any subject” (Article I, section 8), establishes the will of the people themselves to be the basis of all proper governmental authority (Article I, section 1), and guarantees the right to “apply to those invested with the power of government for redress of grievances” (Article I, section 9).  By classifying as a “lobbyist” any person who expresses their political ideas to a legislator other than the one elected to represent them, the General Assembly would unconstitutionally stifle political speech and erect barriers that would prevent the people of this state from making their opinions known to those vested with the powers of government.

The impacts of this kind of legislation are real and represent a serious threat to the channels of communication between people and their government. I argue that the real problem with lobbyists is not that they exist, but rather that the cost of lobbying is too high. When the cost of communicating with your elected representatives is relatively high, only powerful vested interests are able to afford lobbying services. When the cost of this communication is relatively low, powerful vested interests have to compete for access and even privileged access becomes less meaningful as politicians gain leverage from being able to choose from more variable coalitions in a dynamic political landscape. In more direct terms, the cheaper it is to be a lobbyist, the more democratic the results of the political process. Lobbying in a sense is the act of proxying speech for dollars and dollars for votes; when votes are cheaper and the population is large and more heterogenous the influence of any single political coalition faces very real limits from competition.

And there is empirical evidence these kind of requirements exert a stifling effect on free speech. University of Missouri-Columbia economist Jeffrey Milyo describes the real ways of in a recent paper published through the Institute for Justice, “Mowing Down the Grassroots: How Grassroots Loobying Disclosure Suppresses Political Participation“:

However, 
as 
this 
report 
documents, 
sweeping 
lobbying 
laws
 in 
36
 states
  to 
strangle
 grassroots
 movements
 in 
red
 tape 
and 
bureaucratic 
regulation.
Twenty‐two
 states
 explicitly 
include 
grassroots
 lobbying 
in
 the
 definition 
of
 lobbying,
 while
 another 
14 
consider
 any 
attempt
 to 
influence 
public 
policy 
to 
be
lobbying,
 as
 long
 as 
a 
certain 
amount 
is 
spent. 

Thus, 
such 
common 
activities 
as
 publishing 
an 
open 
letter, 
organizing 
a 
demonstration 
or 
distributing 
flyers 
can
 trigger 
regulation 
and 
force 
organizers 
to 
register
 with
 the
 state
 and
 file
 detailed
 reports on
 their 
activities,
 as
 well
 as 
the 
identities 
of 
supporters.
  These regulations
 raise
 the 
costs 
of
 political
 activity
 and 
set
 legal 
traps 
for
 unsuspecting
 citizens,
 thus
 making 
it
 more 
difficult
 for
 ordinary 
citizens 
to
 participate 
in 
politics—all 
with 
little 
or 
no 
benefit 
to 
the
 public. 

As 
this 
report
 finds:

  • Lobbying 
regulations
 are
 not 
intended 
to
 be
 understood
 by
 ordinary
 people.

 The
 first
 paragraph 
of 
Massachusetts’
 new 
lobbying 
law, 
for 
example, 
scored
 0.9
 on 
a 
100‐point 
scale 
in 
a 
readability 
test. 

Going 
by 
such 
tests, 
it 
would 
take
 34
 years 
of 
formal 
education
 to 
understand
 that 
paragraph; 
not 
even 
a 
doctorate
 from 
MIT 
or
 Harvard 
would
 be 
enough.
  • The 
red tape 
would‐be
 grassroots 
lobbyists 
must 
navigate 
to 
properly 
disclose
 activities 
and 
financial 
support 
is 
complex 
and 
burdensome. 

In 
previous
    research,
 ordinary
 citizens
 who 
tried 
to 
fill 
out 
similar 
forms 
correctly
 completed
 only
 about
 40 
percent
 of 
tasks.
  • Running 
afoul
 of 
these 
regulations
 could
 bring
 stiff
 penalties,
 including
 thousands 
in 
civil 
fines
 and
 in
 some
 states 
criminal
 penalties.

 In
 New York,
 the
    maximum 
criminal
 penalty
 is 
$5,000 
and 
four 
years 
in 
jail, 
equivalent 
to 
arson
 or 
riot;
 in
 Alabama, 
it
 is
 $30,000 
and
 20
 years,
 equivalent 
to
 kidnapping.
  • The 
public 
likely
 gains 
little 
from
 these 
regulations. 

Previous
 research
 suggests few
 will 
seek
 out 
the 
disclosed
 information, 
but 
many 
will 
be 
deterred 
political 
activity 
by 
the 
public 
disclosure 
of 
their 
personal 
information.
Tagged , ,

On opening theory

Check out the wikibooks on chess opening theory. Fascinating stuff. I prefer a variation on the Sicilian Defense and play it almost by rote in most informal games that I play, but there are some interesting games to study this summer.

Tagged

Godel, Escher, Bach summer reading club

This summer I want to try something novel and worthwhile. I’m going to start a Godel, Escher, Bach reading club/group blog with the general intention of doing some serious and worthwhile analysis of the concepts in the book, most centrally of course being Godel’s third incompleteness theorem.

The inspiration for this effort is simple: I’ve been reading, and re-reading GEB for several years, and there is still much in the book that I have only the barest understanding of. What better way to gain understanding than to make reading and analyzing this book a collaborative effort?

Invitations are open to anyone who’s interested. You have to have your own copy (or access to a copy) and you have to be willing to commit to keeping up with the readings and contribute some commentary. Let me know formally by leaving your information in the comments or by emailing me at eapen.thampy@gmail.com. Basically I’d want to know your name, email, what your interest in GEB is, and what strengths you bring. It would be useful to know what educational institutions or other organization you might be affiliated with, too, but that’s up to you.

Tagged

Is the US military spying on Americans?

This is scary. From the ABA Journal:

A 22-year-old activist from the Evergreen State College in Washington will get $169,000 and his lawyers are expected to get twice as much in settlement of a political spying case that reportedly may have been sparked by a tip-off from the U.S. military that local authorities should keep an eye on Philip Chinn.

Arrested on suspicion of drunken driving in May 2007 while he was en route to an anti-war protest over the use of civilian ports for military purposes, Chinn won the dismissal of the case after tests showed he had no drugs or alcohol in his system, reports the Seattle Times. He subsequently sued for false arrest and violation of his constitutional rights.

The state patrol is funding $109,000 of the settlement to Chinn and local government agencies are picking up the rest of the tab. They have also agreed to pay his legal fees, which the American Civil Liberties Union estimates at $375,000, an ACLU spokesman says.

The ACLU pursued Chinn’s case because it believes the facts suggest U.S. military involvement in spying on activists by local law enforcement, both concerning Chinn and others, is “far more pervasive than we had thought,” spokesman Doug Honig tells the newspaper.

Tagged ,

Great things St. Louis: Taste by Niche

I had dinner and cocktails last night at Taste by Niche in St. Louis. Taste is a small, intimate bar done fantastically well, featuring the culinary direction of Chef Gerard Craft, who was named a James Beard Finalist two days ago.  I have to say that I was impressed and left feeling once again inspired by a meal.

The cocktail list is superb, and Taste has a excellent selection of well-chosen liqueurs, mixers, and proper ingredients (even the ice is chosen for a reason). But I had excellent results asking the bartender to make me a drink that they felt like making and refusing to express even the slightest preference. The bartender made me a cocktail from green Chartreuse and Velvet Falernum, among other things, which was superb. Chartreuse is perhaps my favorite spirit, and it is rare to find someone who has cultivated the ability to make cocktails out of it, at least in Missouri. I also found an excellent glass of Loire chenin blanc on the by-the-glass wine list, which was situated amongst other superbly chosen glass pours that included white Bordeaux and wines that generally held both the acidity and the flavor characteristics to work seamlessly with a variety of foods.

And the food was excellent. We started with a very good rendition of deviled eggs, followed by a charcuterie plate, and finally a serving of octopus that was perhaps the culinary high point of the meal. I was only sorry that we did not have enough time to continue the meal before we had to leave St. Louis.

I don’t have the time (or skill) to do better justice to Taste, but I recommend it very, very highly amongst all the other restaurants you might conceivably go to if you are in the Midwest.

You can follow Taste on twitter, here (@TastebyNiche). And here is Niche (@NicheStLouis).

Tagged , , , , ,

Cross cultural theories on the substitutability of televison and sex

1. Survey of British men: 72% of bachelors would rather play games than have sex, for men in relationships the rate is 32%.

2. Indian Health and Family Welfare Minister: We can reduce population growth by 80% in rural areas by introducing televisions.

Tagged , ,

Daniel Sokol on evolution, law, and institutions

Here is Daniel Sokol at the Conglomerate in 2008:

I believe that LLSV makes certain assumptions about history and political economy in legal origins that are not exactly supported by the underlying historical record.  A number of scholars have attacked LLSV on these grounds. Nevertheless, I still find myself strangely attracted to LLSV. In many ways, the results are what you would intuitively expect if you were on your own to attempt to rank countries based on investor protection or other similar features. More importantly, a number of the variables that LLSV uses are a bit squishy but we have yet to come up with better cross country measurements. Indeed, as a result of the critiques, LLSV have gotten better as to how they measure shareholder protection. From a policy perspective, the key to change to various bottlenecks requires not merely a top down approach in the change of the legal system but a bottom up approach by the users of these legal systems to overcome various bottlenecks that are regulatory. This makes me believe that over time the common law/civil law distinction will be seen as a rather false one where instead you will find countries lumped into categories based on their ability to respond to local and changing conditions (even the United States, which in recent years may have created increased regulatory bottlenecks such as SOX). This evolutionary approach is what I believe holds the key to understanding how to think about law and institutions.

LLSV refers to the seminal papers by La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Schleifer, and Vishny in 1997 (Legal Determinants of External Finance) and 1998 (Law and Finance) which establish a thesis linking common, civil, and hybrid legal regimes to economics development and financial growth. The internal story has to do with the different kinds of investor protection that emerges under these regimes.

Sokol’s argument here resonates with me quite a bit and while it means that policy work that tries to draw conclusions of strict classification runs into some fairly tangible walls, I think the intuition that says that markets and institutions work together in complex and adaptive ways provides some rather good insights into where analytical work might be useful. I’ll be developing this in a post later this week so stay tuned…

Tagged , ,

Why Cameras? The Market Solves Better!

Here is the text of an op-ed I submitted to the Columbia Tribune about 2 weeks ago. They have not gotten back to me on whether or not they will publish it, but I think that it is worth reading so I’ll post it here. Key knowledge for people who don’t live in Columbia: Proposition 1 was an initiative to give the police chief the option of placing surveillance cameras downtown.

As a libertarian who identifies politically with Democrats, my initial feelings toward Proposition 1 were mixed. I have a deep-seated distrust of government surveillance, but in some respects I regard surveillance of any kind of public activity an unavoidable consequence of being in public. This takes on more meaning when you consider the leaps in portable surveillance technologies that have happened over the last decade that make surveillance by private citizens in public spaces inevitable.

Consider this. Almost everyone who walks on the street of Columbia has a cell phone with an embedded camera. A lot of these phones, particularly smartphones like Android or the Iphone, have embedded video cameras. These cameras are deployed ubiquitously by citizens recording events in their daily lives: the food they eat, the street performers they see, the accidents and crimes they witness. Citizens without training in journalism are now the most important asset we have in terms of breaking news. As an example, remember the plane that touched down in the Hudson last year. The first footage from the scene wasn’t captured by any government camera or any media on the scene, but rather by a man with his Iphone.

We live in a world where Google is driving cars wired with recording equipment down every road in America to capture pictures and video for Google Street View. This world also includes numerous ways to share information, both audio and video, easily and at practically no cost over the internet. Facebook is a good example of how pervasive social networking is and how easy it is to perform de facto surveillance on people in your social network.

More generally, surveillance technologies are extremely cheap and pervasive. I would hazard a guess that it might cost less than $10,000 to wire downtown Columbia with cheap video cameras. You would even be able to stream videos online live 24/7/365. It is not illegal (and impossible to regulate) the surveillance performed by private citizens, particularly those who own or access property located in Columbia.

The revolution in search also factors in. Google, Wolfram Alpha, and Bing all represent large-scale efforts to make all kinds of data instantly computable. I think that within a year or two we will be able to search in real time the media created by people as they go about their daily lives as the technologies that aggregate and compute data become cheaper and more available.

So this is my argument. Proposition 1 was a non-starter for me because I think it is true that in the next couple of years the availability and usability of surveillance technologies will be so pervasive that government surveillance is unnecessary and indeed irrelevant. I voted against Proposition 1 because I don’t see a need to uniquely grant government with these powers; citizens acting of their own free accord in their daily lives perform practically the same functions.

I also recommend this post on surveillance in New York City from Volokh Conspirator Stewart Baker which contains some related insights that I think function well as an extension to my argument.

Tagged , , ,